ADOPT Publications

These publications provide examples of how the Automotive Deployment Options Projection Tool (ADOPT) can be used to estimate technology improvement impacts on sales, energy use, and emissions.

  1. A Comprehensive Assessment of the Marginal Abatement Costs of CO2 of Co-Optima Multi-Mode Vehicles
    Authors: Nicholas A. Carlson, Michael S. Talmadge, George G. Zaimes, Troy R. Hawkins, and Yuan Jiang
    Journal: Energy & Fuels (December 2024)
  2. Potential Adoption and Benefits of Co-Optimized Multimode Engines and Fuels for U.S. Light-Duty Vehicles
    Authors: Doris Oke, Lauren Sittler, Troy R. Hawkins, George G. Zaimes, Hao Cai, Aaron Brooker, Douglas Longman, Ram Vijayagopal, David Gohlke, Emily Newes, Avantika Singh, Jennifer Dunn, and Daniel J. Gaspar
    Journal: Energy & Fuels (November 2024)
  3. Formalizing Sustainable Urban Mobility Management: An Innovative Approach with Digital Twin and Integrated Modeling
    Authors: Andrea Grotto, Pau Fonseca i Casas, Alyona Zubaryeva, and Wolfram Sparber
    Journal: Logistics (November 2024)
  4. Simulating Impacts From Transit Service Enhancements in the San Francisco Bay Area
    Authors: Cristian Poliziani, A. Zachary Needell, Haitam Laarabi, Rashid Waraich, Annika Todd-Blick, K. Sydny Fujita, Nazanin Rezaei, D. Juan Caicedo, Carlos Guirado, C. Anna Spurlock, and Tom Wenzel
    Journal: Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board (November 2024)
  5. Lightweighting Cost Impacts on Market Adoption and GHG Emissions in U.S. Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet
    Authors: Fan Yang, Aaron Brooker, Sarah Kleinbaum, and David Gotthold
    Journal: Environmental Research Communications (September 2024)

  6. Assessment of Alternative Fueling Infrastructure in the United States
    Authors: Stephen Lommele, Ranjit R. Desai, Caley Johnson, Amy Snelling, Abby Brown, Mark Singer, Jesse Bennett, Jeff Cappellucci, Johanna Levene, and Christopher Hoehne
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (September 2024)

  7. Impact of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Reliability, Resilience, and Location on Electric Vehicle Adoption
    Authors: Bonnie Powell and Caley Johnson
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (August 2024)

  8. Technology Progress and Clean Vehicle Policies on Fleet Turnover and Equity: Insights From Household Vehicle Fleet Micro-Simulations With ATLAS
    Authors: Ling Jin, Connor P. Jackson, Yuhan Wang, Qianmiao Chen, Tin Ho, C. Anna Spurlock, Aaron Brooker, Jacob Holden, Jeffrey Gonder, Mohamed Amine Bouzaghrane, Bingrong Sun, Shivam Sharda, Venu Garikapati, Tom Wenzel, and Juan Caicedo
    Journal: Transportation Planning and Technology (May 2024)

  9. The Hydrogen Economy Can Reduce Costs of Climate Change Mitigation by up to 22%
    Authors: Paul Wolfram, Page Kyle, Jay Fuhrman, Patrick O’Rourke, and Haewon McJeon
    Journal: One Earth (May 2024)

  10. Navigating Widespread Urban Transit Dynamics with Standardized Data and Scalable Models
    Author: Zackary Aemmer
    Dissertation (Preview): University of Washington (2024)

  1. LA100 Equity Strategies: Household Transportation Electrification
    Authors: Dong-Yeon Lee, Bingrong Sun, Alana Wilson, Megan Day, Patricia-Romero Lankao, Nicole Rosner, Fan Yang, Aaron Brooker, and Jane Lockshin
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (November 2023)

  2. Fast Charging Infrastructure for Electrifying Road Trips to and From National Parks in the Western United States
    Authors: Dong-Yeon Lee, Kaylyn Bopp, Matthew Moniot, and Alicen Kandt
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (September 2023)

  3. Energy, Economic, and Environmental Impacts Assessment of Co-Optimized On-Road Heavy-Duty Engines and Bio-Blendstocks
    Authors: Doris Oke, Lauren Sittler, Hao Cai, Andre Avelino, Emily Newes, George G. Zaimes, Yimin Zhang, Longwen Ou, Avantika Singh, Jennifer B. Dunn, and Troy R. Hawkins
    Journal: Sustainable Energy Fuels (August 2023)

  4. Sustainable Development Pathways for Energies in Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration
    Authors: Da Xie, Chao Xu, Chenghong Gu, Pengfei Zhao, Xitian Wang, and Yanjia Wang
    Preprint: Research Square (August 2023)

  5. Best Practices in Electricity Load Modeling and Forecasting for Long-Term Power System Planning
    Authors: Ella Zhou, Sika Gadzanku, Cabell Hodge, Mike Campton, Stephane de la Rue du Can, and Jingjing Zhang
    Report: NREL and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (April 2023)

  6. Economic Analysis of the Benefits to Petroleum Refiners for Low Carbon Boosted Spark Ignition Biofuels
    Authors: Nicholas A. Carlson, Avantika Singh, Michael S. Talmadge, Yuan Jiang, George G. Zaimes, Shuyun Li, Troy R. Hawkins, Lauren Sittler, Aaron Brooker, Daniel J. Gaspar, Robert L. McCormick, and M. M. Ramirez-Corredores
    Journal: Fuel (February 2023)

  7. USAID Colombia Young Leaders Workforce Training Program Action Plans: Planning for Electric Vehicle Charging Infrastructure in Bogota
    Authors: Jeff Cappellucci, Dustin Weigl, Sean Esterly, and Hallie Lucas
    Report: NREL (February 2023)

  1. Projecting California Light-Duty Vehicle Attributes (2019–2035)
    Authors: Catherine Ledna, Aaron Brooker, and Dong-Yeon Lee
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (September 2022)

  2. How To Support EV Adoption: Tradeoffs Between Charging Infrastructure Investments and Vehicle Subsidies in California
    Authors: Catherine Ledna, Matteo Muratori, Aaron Brooker, Eric Wood, and David Greene
    Journal: Energy Policy (June 2022)

  3. Mapping the Opportunity Space to Model the Circular Economy Using Tools Funded by the DOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy
    Authors: Shubhankar Upasani, Julien Walzberg, Dwarak Ravikumar, Alberta Carpenter, Garvin Heath, Ulises Gracida-Alvarez, Thathiana Benavides, Hui Xu, Troy Hawkins, Daniel Desantis, and Joe Cresko
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (April 2022)

  4. Mobility Trends in Transport Sector Modeling
    Authors: Stefan Kraus, Thomas Grube, and Detlef Stolten
    Journal: Future Transportation (February 2022)

  5. Developing an Interactive Landscape for Mobility Resources: Preprint
    Authors: Lauren Janicke, Benjamin Burch, K. Shankari, and Arthur Yip
    Conference: Transportation Research Board Annual Meeting (January 2022)

  1. Multidimensional Models to Understand Travel Behavior Implications for Transport and Household Energy Use
    Authors: Shivam Sharda
    Dissertation: Arizona State University (December 2021)

  2. Future Automotive Systems Technology Simulator (FASTSim) Validation Report – 2021
    Authors: Chad Baker, Matthew Moniot, Aaron Brooker, Lijuan Wang, Eric Wood, and Jeffrey Gonder
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (October 2021)

  3. Vehicle Technologies and Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Research and Development Programs Benefits Assessment Report for 2020
    Authors: Aaron Brooker, Alicia Birky, Evan Reznicek, Jeff Gonder, Chad Hunter, Jason Lustbader, Chen Zhang, Lauren Sittler, Arthur Yip, Fan Yang, and Dong-Yeon Lee
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (August 2021)

  4. Implications of Competitor Representation for Profit-Maximizing Design
    Authors: Arthur Yip, Jeremy Michalek, and Kate Whitefoot
    Journal: Journal of Mechanical Design (July 2021)

  5. Carbon‐Neutral Pathways for the United States
    Authors: James Williams, Ryan Jones, Ben Haley, Gabe Kwok, Jeremy Hargreaves, Jamil Farbes, and Margaret Torn
    Journal: AGU Advances (January 2021)

  1. Biofuels with Tailored Properties (A) for Hybrid and Plug-in Electric Vehicles (B)
    Authors: Doris Oke, Doug Longman, Emily Newes, Troy Hawkins, Jennifer Dunn, Hao Cai, Aaron Brooker, Scott Curran, Greg Zaimes, Lauren Sittler, and Ram Vijayagopal
    Conference: Applied Energy Symposium (August 2020)

  1. Scenario Evaluation and Regionalization Analysis (SERA) Model: Demand Side and Refueling Infrastructure Buildout
    Authors: Brian Bush, Matteo Muratori, Chad Hunter, Jarett Zuboy, and Marc Melaina
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (June 2019)

  2. Connected Autonomous Electric Vehicles as Enablers for Low-Carbon Future
    Authors: Binod Vaidya and Hussein Mouftah
    Book chapter: Energy Efficiency in Smart Grids (March 2019)

  1. The Demand-Side Grid (dsgrid) Model Documentation
    Authors: E. Hale, H. Horsey, B. Johnson, M. Muratori, E. Wilson, B. Borlaug, C. Christensen, A. Farthing, D. Hettinger, A. Parker, J. Robertson, M. Rossol, G. Stephen, E. Wood, and B. Vairamohane
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (August 2018)

  2. Light-Duty Vehicle Attribute Projections (Years 2015–2030)
    Authors: E. Kontou, M. Melaina, and A. Brooker
    Report: California Energy Commission (July 2018)

  3. Future Automotive Systems Technology Simulator (FASTSim) Validation Report
    Authors: J. Gonder, A. Brooker, E. Wood, and M. Moniot
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (July 2018)

  4. Electrification Futures Study: Scenarios of Electric Technology Adoption and Power Consumption for the United States
    Authors: T. Mai, P. Jadun, J. Logan, C. McMillan, M. Muratori, D. Steinberg, L. Vimmerstedt, R. Jones, B. Haley, and B. Nelson
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (June 2018)

  5. Assessing Energy Impacts of Connected and Automated Vehicles at the U.S. National Level—Preliminary Bounds and Proposed Methods
    Authors: T. Stephens, J. Auld, Y. Chen, J. Gonder, E. Kontou, Z. Lin, F. Xie, A. Mohammadian, R. Shabanpour, and D. Gohlke
    Book chapter: Road Vehicle Automation (June 2018)

  6. Biomass Market Dynamics Supporting the Large‐Scale Deployment of High‐Octane Fuel Production in the United States
    Authors: P. Lamers, R. Nguyen, D. Hartley, J. Hansen, and E. Searcy
    Journal: GCB Bioenergy (March 2018)

  7. Development of Fleet Energy Savings Evaluation Tools for SMART Mobility: Smart Vehicle Energy Technology (SVET) Model for Passenger Fleets and Freight Fleet Level Energy Estimation Tool (FFLEET) for Freight Fleets
    Authors: T. LaClair and A. Moore
    Report: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (February 2018)

  1. Electrification Futures Study: End-Use Electric Technology Cost and Performance Projections through 2050
    Authors: P. Jadun, C. McMillan, D. Steinberg, M. Muratori, L. Vimmerstedt, and T. Mai
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (December 2017)

  2. Comparison of Vehicle Choice Models
    Authors: T. Stephens, R. Levinson, A. Brooker, C. Liu, Z. Lin, A. Birky, and E. Kontou
    Report: Argonne National Laboratory (October 2017)

  3. Well-to-Wheels Greenhouse Gas Emission Analysis of High-Octane Fuels with Ethanol Blending: Phase II Analysis with Refinery Investment Options
    Authors: J. Han, M. Wang, A. Elgowainy, and V. DiVita
    Report: Argonne National Laboratory (August 2016)

  4. Summary of High-Octane Mid-Level Ethanol Blends Study
    Authors: T. Theiss, T. Alleman, A. Brooker, A. Elgowainy, G. Fioroni, J. Han, S. Huff, C. Johnson, M. Kass, P. Leiby, R. Martinez, R. McCormick, K. Moriarty, E. Newes, G. Oladosu, J. Szybist, J. Thomas, M. Wang, and B. West
    Report: Oak Ridge National Laboratory (July 2016)

  5. High-Octane Mid-Level Ethanol Blend Market Assessment
    Authors: C. Johnson, E. Newes, A. Brooker, R. McCormick, S. Peterson, P. Leiby, R. Martinez, G. Oladosu, and M. Brown
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (December 2015)

  6. SERA Scenarios of Early Market Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Introductions: Modeling Framework, Regional Markets, and Station Clustering
    Authors: B. Bush, M. Melaina, and M. Penev
    Report: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (September 2013)

For more information about ADOPT, refer to this technical paper: ADOPT: A Historically Validated Light-Duty Vehicle Consumer Choice Model.

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Last Updated March 20, 2025